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中华疝和腹壁外科杂志(电子版) ›› 2022, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (02) : 206 -211. doi: 10.3877/cma.j.issn.1674-392X.2022.02.019

临床论著

腹腔镜经腹腹膜前疝修补术后复发的危险因素分析及风险模型的建立
陈健1, 吴永红1, 邹旺生1, 韩亮1, 鲍时明1, 程康文2, 雷春2, 王磊3, 张国平3, 高励斌1,()   
  1. 1. 244000 安徽省,铜陵市人民医院急诊外科
    2. 244000 安徽省,铜陵市人民医院普通外科
    3. 246000 安徽省,安庆市立医院普通外科
  • 收稿日期:2020-12-19 出版日期:2022-04-18
  • 通信作者: 高励斌

Risk factors and risk model of recurrence after laparoscopic TAPP inguinal hernia repair

Jian Chen1, Yonghong Wu1, Wangsheng Zou1, Liang Han1, Shiming Bao1, Kangwen Cheng2, Chun Lei2, Lei Wang3, Guoping Zhang3, Libin Gao1,()   

  1. 1. Emergency Surgery Department, People's Hospital of Tongling, Tongling 244000, Anhui Province, China
    2. General Surgery Department, People's Hospital of Tongling, Tongling 244000, Anhui Province, China
    3. General Surgery Department, Anqing Municipal Hospital, Anqing 246000, Anhui Province, China
  • Received:2020-12-19 Published:2022-04-18
  • Corresponding author: Libin Gao
引用本文:

陈健, 吴永红, 邹旺生, 韩亮, 鲍时明, 程康文, 雷春, 王磊, 张国平, 高励斌. 腹腔镜经腹腹膜前疝修补术后复发的危险因素分析及风险模型的建立[J/OL]. 中华疝和腹壁外科杂志(电子版), 2022, 16(02): 206-211.

Jian Chen, Yonghong Wu, Wangsheng Zou, Liang Han, Shiming Bao, Kangwen Cheng, Chun Lei, Lei Wang, Guoping Zhang, Libin Gao. Risk factors and risk model of recurrence after laparoscopic TAPP inguinal hernia repair[J/OL]. Chinese Journal of Hernia and Abdominal Wall Surgery(Electronic Edition), 2022, 16(02): 206-211.

目的

分析腹腔镜经腹腹膜前疝修补术(TAPP)术后复发的危险因素,并建立风险预测模型。

方法

回顾性分析2018年3月至2020年7月铜陵市人民医院及安庆市立医院行TAPP诊治的230例腹股沟疝患者的临床资料,单因素分析和Logistic多因素回归分析筛选经TAPP腹股沟疝修补术后复发的危险因素,以构建风险预测模型,并对模型进行验证。

结果

操作TAPP的例数(OR=3.337,95% CI:1.357~8.401)、术中出血量>10 ml(OR=2.925,95% CI:1.027~8.328)、手术时间>2 h(OR=2.492,95% CI:0.885~7.014)、疝囊最大直径>5 cm(OR=2.675,95% CI:1.018~7.031)、嵌顿疝(OR=7.329,95% CI:2.162~24.56)是经TAPP腹股沟疝修补术后复发的独立危险因素,基于五项独立危险因素构建预测术后复发的风险列线图模型,并验证模型的预测准确度,实际值比较接近预测值,一致性指数C-index为0.833(95% CI:0.814~0.851),表明该模型预测精准度较好。

结论

操作TAPP的例数、术中出血量>10 ml、手术时间>2 h、疝囊最大直径>5 cm及嵌顿疝是经TAPP腹股沟疝修补术后复发的独立危险因素,其建立的风险预测模型精准度较高,可以指导医务人员分析患者术后复发的风险程度,具有较高的临床应用价值。

Objective

To analyze the risk factors of recurrence after laparoscopic trans-abdominal preperitoneal (TAPP) inguinal hernia repair and establish a risk prediction model.

Methods

The clinical data of 230 patients with inguinal hernia treated by TAPP in People's Hospital of Tongling and Anqing Municipal Hospital from March 2018 to July 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate analysis and Logistic multivariate regression analysis were used to screen the risk factors for recurrence after TAPP inguinal hernia repair, so as to build a risk prediction model and verify the model.

Results

Number of cases of operating TAPP (OR=3.337, 95% CI: 1.357-8.401), intraoperative blood loss >10 ml (OR=2.925, 95% CI: 1.027-8.328), operation time >2 h (OR=2.675, 95% CI: 1.018-7.031), the maximum diameter of hernia sac >5 cm (OR=2.675, 95% CI: 1.018-7.031) and incarcerated hernia (OR=7.329, 95% CI: 2.162-24.56) were independent risk factors for recurrence after TAPP inguinal hernia repair. Based on five independent risk factors, a risk nomogram model was established to predict postoperative recurrence, and the prediction accuracy of the model was verified. The actual value was close to the predicted value. The consistency index C-index was 0.833 (95% CI: 0.814-0.851), indicating that the prediction accuracy of the model is good.

Conclusion

Number of cases of operating TAPP, intraoperative blood loss >10 ml, operation time >2 h, the maximum diameter of hernia sac >5 cm and incarcerated hernia are independent risk factors for recurrence after TAPP inguinal hernia repair. The established risk prediction model has high accuracy, which can guide medical staff to analyze the risk degree of postoperative recurrence of patients, and has high clinical application value.

表1 2组患者临床资料单因素分析
表2 2组信息资料多因素分析
图1 预测经TAPP腹股沟疝修补术后复发的列线图模型注:TAPP为腹腔镜经腹腹膜前疝修补术
图2 列线图模型预测经TAPP腹股沟疝修补术后复发的验证注:TAPP为腹腔镜经腹腹膜前疝修补术
图3 列线图模型预测腹腔镜经腹腹膜前疝修补术后复发的受试者工作特征曲线
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